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+$98Yes · avg 95.4¢ → 98.4¢ · $3,181
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$97.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$4,770
Last 30 days +$681 · $977.1k volume · 683 trades · since May 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$15.0k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$19.7k
Closed-position win rate
90%
106 closed
Wallet age · markets
165d
110 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $22.8k | excluded |
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