← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.3k
BUY No @ 99.3¢ · 15,364 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Economy
What happened
Wallet pup1 took No (buy) for $15.3k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.3k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- Size
- $15.3k
- Placed
- Jul 29, 12:25 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- pup1
- Tx
- 0x1d859c62…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+3.4 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.2k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $39.9k | excluded |