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yingxer

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?+$14.5kNo · avg 50¢ → 56¢ · $139.5kWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?−$14.5kYes · avg 50¢ → 44¢ · $110.5kXi Jinping out before 2027?+$1,409No · avg 95.4¢ → 97.4¢ · $69.9kWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?+$714No · avg 93.1¢ → 94.5¢ · $46.9k · 1 proven with, 0 againstWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$553No · avg 86¢ → 91.5¢ · $8,866Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$409Yes · avg 86¢ → 91.5¢ · $7,411Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?+$481Yes · avg 84¢ → 93.5¢ · $5,002 · 1 proven with, 0 againstWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?+$105No · avg 84¢ → 95.5¢ · $859
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$542.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$77.4k
Last 30 days +$1,676 · $2.89M volume · 4,600 trades · since Apr 08, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$73.7k
Open P&L · 15 positions
+$3,691
Closed-position win rate
89%
36 closed
Wallet age · markets
199d
45 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 87¢ $26.1k13% 38d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $29.9k0% 39d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $29.9k0% 39d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $54.7k99% 56d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $49.5k99% 81d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $33.0k100% 86d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $10.0k100% 86d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢ $54.1k1% 134d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢ $49.6k1% 135d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ $66.6k
2.1× usual
1% 135d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $19.8k99% 157d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 96.9¢ $19.4k97% 164d agocalled
Will Trump visit China by May 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ $38.2k100% 165d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $36.2k100% 178d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ $11.4k98% 196d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.3¢ $14.3k98% 196d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 87¢$26.1k
MED yingxer · 38d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$29.9k
LOW yingxer · 39d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$29.9k
LOW yingxer · 39d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$54.7k
LOW yingxer · 56d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.1¢$49.5k
LOW yingxer · 81d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$33.0k
LOW yingxer · 86d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$10.0k
LOW yingxer · 86d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.2¢$54.1k
LOW yingxer · 134d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.2¢$49.6k
LOW yingxer · 135d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.3¢$66.6k
LOW yingxer · 135d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$19.8k
LOW yingxer · 157d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 96.9¢$19.4k
LOW yingxer · 164d ago
Will Trump visit China by May 31?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$38.2k
LOW yingxer · 165d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$36.2k
LOW yingxer · 178d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 98¢$11.4k
LOW yingxer · 196d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 98.3¢$14.3k
LOW yingxer · 196d ago

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