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What this means. A wallet put $39.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$39.9k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Economy
What happened
Wallet AZwater took No (buy) for $39.9k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $39.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 99.7%
- Size
- $39.9k
- Placed
- Jul 29, 08:52 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- AZwater
- Tx
- 0x97bf4b81…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.2k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $20.9k | excluded |