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xrr67

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +14.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?+$7,606Yes · avg 92.2¢ → 94.5¢ · $309.8k · 1 proven with, 0 against
Price-adjusted edge
+14.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$428.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$20.0k
Last 30 days +$2,374 · $1.75M volume · 866 trades · since Jul 02, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$22.4k
Open P&L · 1 positions
+$7,606
Closed-position win rate
78%
9 closed
Wallet age · markets
479d
10 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Economy110.9+14.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 86¢ $48.5k86% 40d agocalled
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $50.4k0% 45d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $50.2k1% 51d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $29.7k99% 59d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $38.7k99% 88d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ $14.8k83% 90d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ $13.4k82% 90d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ $24.0k29% 93d agomissed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 82¢ $31.0k18% 94d agomissed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 81¢ $65.7k19% 95d agomissed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 95.7¢ $47.2k96% 99d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 96.6¢ $14.8k97% 100d agocalled
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?called
BUY No @ 86¢$48.5k
LOW xrr67 · 40d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.6¢$50.4k
LOW xrr67 · 45d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.5¢$50.2k
LOW xrr67 · 51d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$29.7k
LOW xrr67 · 59d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$38.7k
LOW xrr67 · 88d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 83¢$14.8k
LOW xrr67 · 90d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 82¢$13.4k
LOW xrr67 · 90d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
SELL Yes @ 71¢$24.0k
LOW xrr67 · 93d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
SELL Yes @ 82¢$31.0k
MED xrr67 · 94d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?missed
SELL Yes @ 81¢$65.7k
MED xrr67 · 95d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 95.7¢$47.2k
LOW xrr67 · 99d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called
BUY Yes @ 96.6¢$14.8k
LOW xrr67 · 100d ago

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