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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$89.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$203
Last 30 days −$2,196 · $329.9k volume · 180 trades · since Mar 11, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1,926
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$1,210
Closed-position win rate
92%
86 closed
Wallet age · markets
227d
79 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $22.6k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
 Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x915a0c…