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weatherprod

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?+$0Yes · avg 96.7¢ → 98.3¢ · $10
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$44.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$4,262
Last 30 days −$7,675 · $1.42M volume · 1,577 trades · since Apr 09, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$45.9k
Open P&L · 44 positions
−$46.0k
Closed-position win rate
98%
243 closed
Wallet age · markets
198d
290 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $19.0k100% 87d agoexcluded
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $25.4k98% 165d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xcbd382…