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What this means. A wallet put $19.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
$19.9k
BUY No @ 99.4¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet Tigerofthehood took No (buy) for $19.9k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−16567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.4¢
Implied odds
99.4%
Size
$19.9k
Placed
Jul 23, 21:56 EDT
Market close
Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Tigerofthehood
Tx
0x976d9043…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+10.6 pts
expected 8.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +1 pts
No price · entry 99.4¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.4¢ · $19.9k WHALE $19.9K @ 99.4¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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