← Live flags
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Resolved: No
Flags
60
Net whale flow → Yes
+$1.07M
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Sports
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $2.15M 34 flags |
$152.6k 2 wallets |
$65.4k 1 wallet |
| No | $1.05M 19 flags |
$140.1k 1 wallet |
none |
| Not Yes | $89.5k 5 flags |
none | none |
| Not No | $62.4k 2 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $50.9k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $35.7k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 26¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $50.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 66¢ | $131.9k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $33.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 37¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $125.6k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 59¢ | $97.6k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 42¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 57¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $160.3k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $170.0k 9.1× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $60.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 57¢ | $403.4k 9.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 57¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $42.3k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 57¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $25.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 57¢ | $52.2k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $140.2k 4.3× usual |
missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $293.0k 5.9× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 57¢ | $79.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $39.3k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $53.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $96.7k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $184.7k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $127.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $17.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $29.3k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 42¢ | $28.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $67.6k | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $142.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $28.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $40.0k 2.0× usual |
missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 42¢ | $10.6k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 58¢ | $31.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $30.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $12.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $16.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $13.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $18.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $50.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $10.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $12.4k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 60 whale trades on this market totalling $3.35M from 44 wallets. The largest was $403.4k (buy No at 57¢). Most whale money ($2.15M) went to Yes. 24 of 60 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, 0x2c33…0563 ($535.3k), has called 27 of 54 graded flags overall (-3.7 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-esp-arg-2026-07-19-esp).