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Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?excluded$13.8k
BUY Yes @ 45¢ · 30,432 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet tennischamp took Yes (buy) for $13.8k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+121American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 45.3%
- As American odds
- +121 no vig
- Size
- $13.8k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 15:12 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- tennischamp
- Tx
- 0x7c628f9c…
This wallet's graded record
5/6+12.3 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -45 ptsYes price · entry 45¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $50.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $35.7k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $17.9k | excluded |