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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +6.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+6.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$116.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$311.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $18.52M volume · 23,981 trades · since May 23, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.80M
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
155d
3689 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $18.8k | called |
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 86¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | MED BUY England @ 89¢ | $27.7k | excluded |
| Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $17.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1a2f67…