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What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?excluded
$13.8k
BUY Yes @ 43¢ · 32,239 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Zywoo123 took Yes (buy) for $13.8k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+134American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
43¢
Implied odds
42.8%
As American odds
+134 no vig
Size
$13.8k
Placed
Jul 19, 14:58 EDT
Market close
Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Zywoo123
Tx
0xacbbffab…
This wallet's graded record
3/5+1.0 pts
expected 3.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -43 pts
Yes price · entry 43¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 43¢ · $13.8k WHALE $13.8K @ 43¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $11.5k0% 0x631a…b63197d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $50.9k0% richrichrichsad97d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?MED BUY No @ 89¢ $35.7k
2.4× usual
89% n.maga97d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $15.4k90% curie97d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $18.0k90% RN197d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $17.9k90% uptime072497d agoexcluded