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Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $125.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?excluded$125.6k
BUY Yes @ 39¢ · 319,921 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.9× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0xec44…c92b took Yes (buy) for $125.6k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $125.6k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 39¢ means
39%chance the market gave
+155American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 39¢
- Implied odds
- 39.2%
- As American odds
- +155 no vig
- Size
- $125.6k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 16:17 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xec44…c92b
- Tx
- 0xd8d3fec3…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-22.9 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -39 ptsYes price · entry 39¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $50.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $35.7k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $17.9k | excluded |