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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -42.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-42.2 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$105.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$24.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $3.61M volume · 2,632 trades · since Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$147.5k
Open P&L · 17 positions
−$151.8k
Closed-position win rate
67%
52 closed
Wallet age · markets
132d
67 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -42.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $42.3k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $16.3k | missed |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 84¢ | $23.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x60e4df…