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Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $403.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-2.2 pts over 58 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?excluded$403.4k
BUY No @ 57¢ · 701,533 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $250k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)10× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took No (buy) for $403.4k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $403.4k+3
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−135American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 57.5%
- As American odds
- −135 no vig
- Size
- $403.4k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 14:42 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xcc99bcad…
This wallet's graded record
30/58-2.2 pts
expected 31.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +43 ptsNo price · entry 57¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $50.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $35.7k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $17.9k | excluded |