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Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $12.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-20.1 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.4k
SELL Yes @ 26¢ · 46,747 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Feromont took Yes (sell) for $12.4k at an average 26¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 26¢
- Implied odds
- 73.6%
- As American odds
- −278 no vig
- Size
- $12.4k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 17:00 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Feromont
- Tx
- 0xfe43017d…
This wallet's graded record
8/20-20.1 pts
expected 12.0 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $50.9k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $35.7k 2.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $15.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $18.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $17.9k | excluded |