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Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Resolved: No
Flags
53
Net whale flow → Yes
−$338.9k
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Other
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$656.9k
30 flags
$39.1k
1 wallet
none
Not No$302.3k
18 flags
none none
Yes$41.6k
3 flags
none none
Not Yes$25.9k
2 flags
none none

A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $27.9k0% 0xb682…60e6265d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $39.1k100% ScottyNooo PROVEN265d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $10.5k0% 0x3c44…fca3265d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ $10.2k3% Bammer266d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $44.7k96% Bammer266d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 94¢ $17.7k6% emcor268d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 93¢ $12.3k7% 0x3c44…fca3270d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 88¢ $12.9k12% Casdifer270d agomissed
MED SELL No @ 87¢ $61.1k13% 0xbe48…683f270d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 86¢ $21.5k86% 0x6276…2dd9271d agocalled
LOW BUY Yes @ 25¢ $19.0k25% 0xb2d7…312c272d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 69¢ $12.8k31% 0xaefb…a0ef273d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $13.9k85% Casdifer275d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 81¢ $14.1k19% 0x94a5…aec1275d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 81¢ $14.0k19% 0x94a5…aec1276d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 86¢ $11.4k86% 0x3c44…fca3276d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 79¢ $11.1k21% tetrose278d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $16.0k87% Casdifer280d agocalled
MED BUY No @ 69¢ $70.8k
2.5× usual
69% Magamyman282d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 62¢ $11.7k38% chungguskhan282d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 61¢ $18.2k61% Magamyman282d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 60¢ $14.2k40% chungguskhan282d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 44¢ $31.0k44% chungguskhan282d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 37¢ $12.9k37% chungguskhan282d agocalled
LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ $10.1k64% tgrdy282d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 41¢ $13.1k59% 0x4b57…f47f283d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 55¢ $14.7k45% 0x5fbd…fb37284d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 63¢ $13.9k37% just.some.guy.2026284d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 65¢ $18.1k65% 0xb682…60e6284d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 67¢ $10.1k33% Naichli284d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 69¢ $19.9k31% chungguskhan284d agomissed
LOW SELL Yes @ 30¢ $15.1k70% 0xb049…7489285d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 71¢ $26.4k71% chungguskhan285d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 71¢ $24.6k71% 0x94a5…aec1285d agocalled
MED BUY No @ 71¢ $48.7k71% 0xbe48…683f286d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 73¢ $15.0k73% Cuco84287d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 72¢ $39.6k72% Bammer287d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 69¢ $11.4k69% Bammer287d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $12.6k70% 0x6276…2dd9287d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $10.4k70% twe2nty287d agocalled
LOW SELL Yes @ 32¢ $10.8k68% 0x36f7…4e1c288d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 68¢ $12.0k68% 0xd55c…935d288d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 67¢ $16.0k67% KokoVeLeon1288d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 72¢ $22.3k72% 0x6d77…b72c288d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 73¢ $23.2k73% 0x4b57…f47f289d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 72¢ $11.0k72% e88888289d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $11.4k70% MisTKy3289d agocalled
LOW BUY Yes @ 25¢ $12.5k25% 0xb049…7489290d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 78¢ $11.7k78% Bammer290d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $12.0k70% MisTKy3290d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 65¢ $14.8k65% Magamyman290d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 71¢ $12.2k71% Magamyman290d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $24.2k70% Magamyman290d agocalled

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 53 whale trades on this market totalling $1.03M from 28 wallets. The largest was $70.8k (buy No at 69¢). Most whale money ($656.9k) went to No. 32 of 53 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, Magamyman ($140.0k), has called 15 of 15 graded flags overall (+38.8 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (israel-strikes-iran-by-january-31-2026-894-994-453).