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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$44.7k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$6,159
Last 30 days +$0 · $281.3k volume · 196 trades · since Jan 21, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4,317
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$10.5k
Closed-position win rate
74%
19 closed
Wallet age · markets
276d
25 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $12.3k | missed |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $11.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3c44de…