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What this means. A wallet put $14.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.0k
SELL No @ 81¢ · 17,362 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x94a5…aec1 took No (sell) for $14.0k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 19.3%
- Size
- $14.0k
- Placed
- Jan 21, 08:43 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x94a5…aec1
- Tx
- 0xa7bcc270…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -19 ptsNo price · entry 81¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $39.1k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $44.7k | called |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $17.7k | missed |