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What this means. A wallet put $17.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.7k
SELL No @ 94¢ · 18,829 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet emcor took No (sell) for $17.7k at an average 94¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 94¢
- Implied odds
- 6.0%
- Size
- $17.7k
- Placed
- Jan 29, 07:58 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- emcor
- Tx
- 0x704d8fa8…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-6.0 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -6 ptsNo price · entry 94¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $39.1k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $44.7k | called |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $12.3k | missed |