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What this means. A wallet put $14.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.7k
SELL No @ 55¢ · 26,715 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x5fbd…fb37 took No (sell) for $14.7k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 45.0%
- Size
- $14.7k
- Placed
- Jan 13, 11:10 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x5fbd…fb37
- Tx
- 0x2dba96a8…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-26.5 pts
expected 3.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $39.1k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $44.7k | called |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $17.7k | missed |