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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did -30.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-30.5 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.3
Flagged volume
$290.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$37.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $3.21M volume · 3,288 trades · since Jun 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$37.5k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
71%
150 closed
Wallet age · markets
487d
142 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -30.5 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xaefb86…