← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $29.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.1k
BUY No @ 97¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet 0xaefb…a0ef took No (buy) for $29.1k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.1k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97¢
- Implied odds
- 97.0%
- Size
- $29.1k
- Placed
- Feb 03, 14:10 EST
- Market close
- Feb 03, 18:45 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xaefb…a0ef
- Tx
- 0x5be16129…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-30.5 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +3 ptsNo price · entry 97¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $133.2k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $42.0k | excluded |