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What this means. A wallet put $24.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -17.8 pts vs the price over 20 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$24.9k
BUY No @ 99.5¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet aenews2 took No (buy) for $24.9k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $24.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 99.5%
- Size
- $24.9k
- Placed
- Feb 03, 16:13 EST
- Market close
- Feb 03, 18:45 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aenews2
- Tx
- 0x848b2e66…
This wallet's graded record
12/20-17.8 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 99.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $133.2k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $42.0k | excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $36.9k | excluded |