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What this means. A wallet put $36.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$36.9k
SELL No @ 98.5¢ · 37,442 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet 881112 took No (sell) for $36.9k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $36.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 1.5%
- Size
- $36.9k
- Placed
- Feb 03, 15:16 EST
- Market close
- Feb 03, 18:45 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 881112
- Tx
- 0xbbb933b5…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-23.4 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsNo price · entry 98.5¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $133.2k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $42.0k | excluded |