← Wallets
+$61.8kNo · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $166.8k−$61.8kYes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $43.2k+$330No · avg 58¢ → 94.5¢ · $846+$192No · avg 46¢ → 90¢ · $390
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +35.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+35.6 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$91.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±47.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$245.5k
Last 30 days +$608 · $2.46M volume · 2,592 trades · since Oct 06, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$245.0k
Open P&L · 4 positions
+$522
Closed-position win rate
65%
237 closed
Wallet age · markets
1828d
155 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +35.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Government shutdown on Saturday? | MED BUY No @ 90.3¢ | $37.2k | excluded |
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $42.0k | excluded |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | LOW BUY No @ 64¢ | $12.5k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe0368a…