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What this means. A wallet put $49.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?excluded
$49.8k
BUY No @ 98.8¢ · 50,392 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hOther

What happened

Wallet 0x3b44…264e took No (buy) for $49.8k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $49.8k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8085American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
98.8¢
Implied odds
98.8%
Size
$49.8k
Placed
Feb 03, 16:09 EST
Market close
Feb 03, 18:45 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x3b44…264e
Tx
0x0629afdb…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+22.8 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +1 pts
No price · entry 98.8¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.8¢ · $49.8k WHALE $49.8K @ 98.8¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $60.0k
2.2× usual
0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN262d agoexcluded
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $13.9k100% Trustinghorse262d agoexcluded
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $133.2k
6.2× usual
100% ScottyNooo PROVEN262d agoexcluded
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $24.9k100% aenews2 LOSING262d agoexcluded
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $42.0k98% 0xe036…616c262d agoexcluded
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ $36.9k1% 881112263d agoexcluded
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$60.0k
LOW PROVEN ArmageddonRewardsBilly · 262d ago
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$13.9k
LOW Trustinghorse · 262d ago
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$133.2k
MED PROVEN ScottyNooo · 262d ago
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$24.9k
LOW LOSING aenews2 · 262d ago
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?excluded
BUY No @ 98.2¢$42.0k
LOW 0xe036…616c · 262d ago
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?excluded
SELL No @ 98.5¢$36.9k
LOW 881112 · 263d ago