Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $614.8k 23 flags |
$162.6k 1 wallet |
$24.9k 1 wallet |
| Not No | $202.0k 8 flags |
$60.0k 1 wallet |
none |
| Yes | $15.8k 1 flag |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $133.2k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $42.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $36.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $29.1k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 94.6¢ | $30.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ | $50.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $11.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $13.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $23.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $11.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $10.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $18.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $20.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 74¢ | $17.3k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 77¢ | $13.1k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 81¢ | $16.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $18.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $16.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $12.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 84¢ | $10.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $13.3k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 80¢ | $16.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 64¢ | $12.5k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $11.8k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 54¢ | $19.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $15.8k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 32 whale trades on this market totalling $832.6k from 22 wallets. The largest was $133.2k (buy No at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($614.8k) went to No. 23 of 32 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, ScottyNooo ($162.6k), has called 45 of 46 graded flags overall (+15.0 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (will-the-government-shutdown-last-5-days-or-more).