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Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Resolved: No
Flags
32
Net whale flow → Yes
−$397.0k
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Other
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$614.8k
23 flags
$162.6k
1 wallet
$24.9k
1 wallet
Not No$202.0k
8 flags
$60.0k
1 wallet
none
Yes$15.8k
1 flag
none none

A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $60.0k
2.2× usual
0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN262d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $13.9k100% Trustinghorse262d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $133.2k
6.2× usual
100% ScottyNooo PROVEN262d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $24.9k100% aenews2 LOSING262d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ $49.8k99% 0x3b44…264e262d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $42.0k98% 0xe036…616c262d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ $36.9k1% 881112262d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $30.1k99% Kevindoto262d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $30.0k98% third-eye262d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 97¢ $29.1k97% 0xaefb…a0ef262d agoexcluded
MED SELL No @ 94.6¢ $30.5k5% 0xaefb…a0ef262d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ $50.9k95% 0x1c12…79d9262d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $11.1k94% FlyingPlaty262d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $13.7k94% InsiderrrZ262d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $23.3k94% AcctToBeRetired262d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $11.2k94% rooivalk262d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $10.9k95% 0xaefb…a0ef262d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $18.7k95% Llalalala262d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $20.4k95% 0x1fd2…b7f8262d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 74¢ $17.3k74% ScottyNooo PROVEN262d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 77¢ $13.1k23% 0x090a…01b4262d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 81¢ $16.0k19% mr.ozi262d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 83¢ $18.3k83% 0x1997…2e36262d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 82¢ $16.4k82% mr.ozi262d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 81¢ $12.0k81% ScottyNooo PROVEN262d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 84¢ $10.1k16% Llalalala263d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 84¢ $13.3k84% Llalalala263d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 80¢ $16.1k20% Naichli263d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 64¢ $12.5k64% 0xe036…616c263d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 61¢ $11.8k61% Naichli263d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 54¢ $19.3k46% Llalalala264d agomissed
LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ $15.8k45% ImJustKen264d agomissed

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 32 whale trades on this market totalling $832.6k from 22 wallets. The largest was $133.2k (buy No at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($614.8k) went to No. 23 of 32 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, ScottyNooo ($162.6k), has called 45 of 46 graded flags overall (+15.0 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (will-the-government-shutdown-last-5-days-or-more).