← Wallets
−$8,918Yes · avg 38¢ → 15¢ · $6,140
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.1 wins, so it did -35.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-35.4 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
2.1
Flagged volume
$1.10M
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$2,742
Last 30 days −$400 · $7.56M volume · 7,469 trades · since Sep 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$24.1k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$26.7k
Closed-position win rate
49%
71 closed
Wallet age · markets
767d
68 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -40.0 pts |
| Other | 2 | 1 | 1.7 | -33.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9bcada…