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What this means. A wallet put $99.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
$99.8k
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)2.7× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet rooivalk took Yes (sell) for $99.8k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $99.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$99.8k
Placed
Apr 27, 03:27 EDT
Market close
Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
rooivalk
Tx
0x00565ff9…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-35.4 pts
expected 2.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $99.8k WHALE $99.8K @ 99.8¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% Tigerofthehood178d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
2.9× usual
0% pako178d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $67.4k0% JAHODA178d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% QMG-CORE178d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% QMG-MACRO178d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $112.5k100% books1 NEW178d agoexcluded