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What this means. A wallet put $80.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
$80.7k
SELL No @ 99.4¢ · 81,196 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2.1× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet rooivalk took No (sell) for $80.7k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $80.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.4¢
Implied odds
0.6%
Size
$80.7k
Placed
Jan 27, 07:26 EST
Market close
Jan 27, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
rooivalk
Tx
0x21b241d4…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-35.4 pts
expected 2.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
No price · entry 99.4¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.4¢ · $80.7k WHALE $80.7K @ 99.4¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $11.2k100% debased269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $26.4k100% 0x17e5…3d19269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $49.8k0% 0x2745…fb00269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $40.2k
4.0× usual
0% 0x8230…7247269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $40.4k
4.0× usual
0% 0x0c0d…4a28269d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $40.3k
3.9× usual
0% 0x2cf5…ed49269d agoexcluded