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What this means. A wallet put $70.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. It won. This wallet has only 15 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$70.8k
BUY No @ 69¢ · 101,856 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.5× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Magamyman took No (buy) for $70.8k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $70.8k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−228American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 69.5%
- Size
- $70.8k
- Placed
- Jan 15, 07:11 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Magamyman
- Tx
- 0x8e2af83b…
This wallet's graded record
15/15+38.8 pts
expected 9.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $39.1k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $44.7k | called |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $17.7k | missed |