Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $1.17M 45 flags |
$116.8k 3 wallets |
none |
| Not Yes | $897.5k 35 flags |
$156.5k 3 wallets |
none |
| No | $55.4k 4 flags |
none | none |
| Not No | $17.5k 1 flag |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $60.3k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $10.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $17.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $13.1k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 86¢ | $15.4k | missed |
| MED SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $10.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $13.3k | called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 73¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 20¢ | $17.5k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 51¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $14.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $15.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $14.6k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 41¢ | $62.9k | missed |
| MED SELL Yes @ 42¢ | $25.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $16.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 59¢ | $23.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $10.5k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $104.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $68.1k 3.2× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 84¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| MED SELL Yes @ 85¢ | $55.4k | missed |
| MED SELL Yes @ 85¢ | $70.9k 3.1× usual |
missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 86¢ | $14.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $60.0k 3.0× usual |
called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $42.6k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 86¢ | $15.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $13.1k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $20.6k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 88¢ | $11.3k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $20.3k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 88¢ | $17.6k | missed |
| MED SELL Yes @ 88¢ | $67.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $21.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $29.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $13.8k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $113.4k 2.9× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $10.3k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 89¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 89¢ | $12.5k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $10.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $10.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $19.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $20.0k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 80¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $40.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $20.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $12.6k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 67¢ | $13.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $36.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $12.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $23.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $18.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $10.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $10.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $15.1k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 58¢ | $13.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $20.8k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 58¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $10.4k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $110.8k 5.2× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $14.1k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 79¢ | $16.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $22.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $10.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $15.1k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 68¢ | $19.7k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 78¢ | $16.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $26.9k | called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 78¢ | $31.5k 2.7× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $15.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ | $12.8k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 42¢ | $10.7k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 52¢ | $14.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $11.9k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 47¢ | $10.6k | missed |
| MED SELL Yes @ 65¢ | $106.6k 2.5× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $12.5k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 65¢ | $11.1k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 36¢ | $14.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $14.6k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 35¢ | $37.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 66¢ | $17.7k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 85 whale trades on this market totalling $2.14M from 49 wallets. The largest was $113.4k (buy Yes at 90¢). Most whale money ($1.17M) went to Yes. 46 of 85 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, geniusMC ($325.0k), has called 3 of 4 graded flags overall (+12.7 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (will-arsenal-win-the-202526-english-premier-league).