← Wallets
+$1,160No · avg 82¢ → 91.3¢ · $11.5k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +20.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+20.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$57.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$98.9k
Last 30 days +$394 · $1.13M volume · 596 trades · since Jul 10, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$98.5k
Open P&L · 1 positions
+$1,160
Closed-position win rate
52%
29 closed
Wallet age · markets
836d
29 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +23.0 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +18.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $30.3k | called |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $10.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5cd3f7…