← Live flags
Will France win on 2026-06-30?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $17.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 86% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-30?excluded$17.0k
BUY Yes @ 86¢ · 19,810 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet MajorMalfunction took Yes (buy) for $17.0k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 86% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 86¢ means
86%chance the market gave
−614American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 86.0%
- As American odds
- −614 no vig
- Size
- $17.0k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 17:58 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- MajorMalfunction
- Tx
- 0xe3430f13…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+20.5 pts
expected 1.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +14 ptsYes price · entry 86¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $205.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded |