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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +25.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+25.2 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$28.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±43.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$5,893
Last 30 days −$2 · $559.1k volume · 166 trades · since May 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$10.4k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$8,300
Closed-position win rate
56%
48 closed
Wallet age · markets
148d
58 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +25.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 75¢ | $17.9k | called |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xba8ae5…