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Will France win on 2026-06-30?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $205.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-30?excluded$205.8k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 205,998 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x293c…a146 took Yes (sell) for $205.8k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $205.8k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $205.8k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 19:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x293c…a146
- Tx
- 0x550baf02…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $80.4k 2.7× usual |
excluded |