WhaleGrader
Log inSign up
← Wallets

geniusMC

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.5 wins, so it did +12.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+12.7 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
2.5
Flagged volume
$5.43M
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$2.15M
Last 30 days +$283 · $98.39M volume · 166,548 trades · since Feb 05, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$7.92M
Open P&L · 1 positions
+$3,666
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
625d
1000 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other211.1-7.1 pts
Sports221.4+32.5 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ $15.5k41% 190d agomissed
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW SELL Yes @ 59¢ $23.3k41% 190d agomissed
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ $20.6k13% 202d agomissed
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut HuskiesLOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 45¢ $66.6k45% 210d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?MED SELL Yes @ 88¢ $67.2k12% 214d agomissed
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $24.1k100% 215d agoexcluded
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $29.9k100% 216d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?MED BUY Yes @ 90¢ $113.4k
2.9× usual
90% 219d agocalled
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ $19.1k81% 226d agocalled
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $185.0k
4.7× usual
100% 226d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ $20.0k81% 229d agocalled
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ $40.7k81% 231d agocalled
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ $20.8k81% 231d agocalled
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $80.9k
2.0× usual
100% 233d agoexcluded
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $274.7k
6.9× usual
99% 233d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $11.2k100% 237d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $36.3k100% 238d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $38.5k100% 240d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $204.4k
5.2× usual
100% 240d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $11.0k100% 240d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $67.3k100% 240d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $1.26M
31.8× usual
100% 241d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $18.3k100% 242d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $31.9k100% 243d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $13.8k100% 244d agoexcluded
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $900.0k
22.7× usual
100% 247d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $76.1k100% 247d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $75.3k100% 247d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $77.3k100% 247d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $198.4k
5.0× usual
100% 247d agoexcluded
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ $30.1k80% 257d agoexcluded
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ $88.9k
2.2× usual
68% 257d agoexcluded
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $61.7k68% 257d agoexcluded
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 32¢ $14.6k68% 257d agoexcluded
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?HIGH SELL Yes @ 68¢ $124.0k
3.1× usual
32% 258d agomissed
Seahawks vs. PatriotsMED BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ $164.3k
4.2× usual
68% 258d agocalled
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 68¢ $10.2k32% 259d agomissed
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 68¢ $21.5k32% 269d agomissed
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLOW BUY Seahawks @ 67¢ $65.0k67% 270d agocalled
Rams vs. SeahawksHIGH BUY Seahawks @ 60¢ $609.5k
15.4× usual
60% 271d agoexcluded
Patriots vs. BroncosMED BUY Patriots @ 71¢ $46.1k71% 271d agoexcluded
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 30¢ $114.2k
2.9× usual
70% 271d agocalled
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $10.1k100% 271d agoexcluded
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 27¢ $18.0k27% 275d agomissed
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 27¢ $23.3k73% 275d agocalled
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 23¢ $10.8k77% 279d agomissed
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?missed
BUY Yes @ 41¢$15.5k
LOW geniusMC · 190d ago
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?missed
SELL Yes @ 59¢$23.3k
LOW geniusMC · 190d ago
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?missed
SELL Yes @ 87¢$20.6k
LOW geniusMC · 202d ago
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesexcluded
BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 45¢$66.6k
LOW geniusMC · 210d ago
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?missed
SELL Yes @ 88¢$67.2k
MED geniusMC · 214d ago
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$24.1k
LOW geniusMC · 215d ago
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$29.9k
LOW geniusMC · 216d ago
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?called
BUY Yes @ 90¢$113.4k
MED geniusMC · 219d ago
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?called
BUY Yes @ 81¢$19.1k
LOW geniusMC · 226d ago
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$185.0k
LOW geniusMC · 226d ago
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?called
BUY Yes @ 81¢$20.0k
LOW geniusMC · 229d ago
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?called
BUY Yes @ 81¢$40.7k
LOW geniusMC · 231d ago
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?called
BUY Yes @ 81¢$20.8k
LOW geniusMC · 231d ago
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$80.9k
LOW geniusMC · 233d ago
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$274.7k
LOW geniusMC · 233d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$11.2k
LOW geniusMC · 237d ago
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$36.3k
LOW geniusMC · 238d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$38.5k
LOW geniusMC · 240d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$204.4k
LOW geniusMC · 240d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$11.0k
LOW geniusMC · 240d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$67.3k
LOW geniusMC · 240d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$1.26M
LOW geniusMC · 241d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$18.3k
LOW geniusMC · 242d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$31.9k
LOW geniusMC · 243d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$13.8k
LOW geniusMC · 244d ago
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$900.0k
LOW geniusMC · 247d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$76.1k
LOW geniusMC · 247d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$75.3k
LOW geniusMC · 247d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$77.3k
LOW geniusMC · 247d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$198.4k
LOW geniusMC · 247d ago
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
SELL Yes @ 20¢$30.1k
LOW geniusMC · 257d ago
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 68¢$88.9k
MED geniusMC · 257d ago
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 68¢$61.7k
LOW geniusMC · 257d ago
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
SELL Yes @ 32¢$14.6k
LOW geniusMC · 257d ago
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?missed
SELL Yes @ 68¢$124.0k
HIGH geniusMC · 258d ago
Seahawks vs. Patriotscalled
BUY Seahawks @ 68¢$164.3k
MED geniusMC · 258d ago
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?missed
SELL Yes @ 68¢$10.2k
LOW geniusMC · 259d ago
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?missed
SELL Yes @ 68¢$21.5k
MED geniusMC · 269d ago
Seahawks vs. Patriotscalled
BUY Seahawks @ 67¢$65.0k
LOW geniusMC · 270d ago
Rams vs. Seahawksexcluded
BUY Seahawks @ 60¢$609.5k
HIGH geniusMC · 271d ago
Patriots vs. Broncosexcluded
BUY Patriots @ 71¢$46.1k
MED geniusMC · 271d ago
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?called
SELL Yes @ 30¢$114.2k
MED geniusMC · 271d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$10.1k
LOW geniusMC · 271d ago
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?missed
BUY Yes @ 27¢$18.0k
LOW geniusMC · 275d ago
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?called
SELL Yes @ 27¢$23.3k
LOW geniusMC · 275d ago
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?missed
SELL Yes @ 23¢$10.8k
LOW geniusMC · 279d ago

Share this record

WhaleGrader badge
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x0b9cae2b0dfe7a71c413e0604eaac1c352f87e44"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x0b9cae2b0dfe7a71c413e0604eaac1c352f87e44.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0b9cae…