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What this means. A wallet put $88.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$88.9k
BUY Yes @ 68¢ · 130,933 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet geniusMC took Yes (buy) for $88.9k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $88.9k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−212American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 67.9%
- Size
- $88.9k
- Placed
- Feb 08, 18:33 EST
- Market close
- Feb 08, 07:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- geniusMC
- Tx
- 0x38855b67…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+12.7 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 19¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY No @ 32¢ | $32.5k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $31.8k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 68¢ | $14.2k | excluded |