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What this means. A wallet put $14.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.0k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 14,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet stockpicks took Yes (sell) for $14.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $14.0k
- Placed
- Feb 08, 22:52 EST
- Market close
- Feb 08, 07:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- stockpicks
- Tx
- 0x4fef2faa…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-2.0 pts
expected 2.1 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 19¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY No @ 32¢ | $32.5k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $88.9k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $31.8k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 68¢ | $14.2k | excluded |