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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +31.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+31.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$99.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$6,378
Last 30 days +$1,561 · $1.42M volume · 907 trades · since Aug 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$184.6k
Open P&L · 69 positions
−$178.3k
Closed-position win rate
90%
123 closed
Wallet age · markets
798d
183 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +31.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ | $60.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Patriots @ 69¢ | $24.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7b8c4d…