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Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $30.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.1k
SELL Yes @ 20¢ · 150,600 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet geniusMC took Yes (sell) for $30.1k at an average 20¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 20¢
- Implied odds
- 80.0%
- Size
- $30.1k
- Placed
- Feb 08, 20:39 EST
- Market close
- Feb 08, 07:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- geniusMC
- Tx
- 0x1603d2dd…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+12.7 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 33¢ | $42.9k | excluded |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 33¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 32¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?excludedBUY Yes @ 30¢$12.1k
LOW gmanas · 257d ago
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?excludedBUY Yes @ 32¢$31.3k
MED gmanas · 257d ago