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What this means. A wallet put $31.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
$31.3k
BUY Yes @ 32¢ · 96,709 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet gmanas took Yes (buy) for $31.3k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied a 32% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $31.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 32¢ means
32%chance the market gave
+209American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
32¢
Implied odds
32.4%
Size
$31.3k
Placed
Feb 08, 18:34 EST
Market close
Feb 08, 07:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
gmanas
Tx
0x19da6d30…
This wallet's graded record
12/17+4.8 pts
expected 11.2 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 30¢ $12.1k30% gmanas257d agoexcluded
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ $30.1k80% geniusMC257d agoexcluded
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 33¢ $42.9k33% gmanas257d agoexcluded
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 33¢ $12.8k33% RegardedMoney PROVEN257d agoexcluded
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 32¢ $17.2k32% 4gibg4i3o257d agoexcluded
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 32¢ $14.6k68% geniusMC258d agoexcluded