← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $1.26M on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.26M
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 1,260,458 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)31.8× this wallet's usual betCrypto
What happened
Wallet geniusMC took No (buy) for $1.26M at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $1.26M+3
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $1.26M
- Placed
- Feb 25, 01:18 EST
- Market close
- Mar 01, 00:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- geniusMC
- Tx
- 0xae62dbd4…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+12.7 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |