← Wallets
−$800Petr Yan · avg 61¢ → 58¢ · $19.3k+$446Yes · avg 81¢ → 84¢ · $13.9k−$100Yes · avg 70¢ → 70¢ · $9,759−$96Movsar Evloev · avg 51¢ → 50¢ · $9,704+$1,221Yes · avg 57¢ → 70¢ · $6,384+$290No · avg 86¢ → 92.5¢ · $4,428 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$749No · avg 74¢ → 94.5¢ · $3,462+$275No · avg 75¢ → 82¢ · $3,361
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did +33.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
+33.0 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$129.8k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$99.9k
Last 30 days +$612 · $5.94M volume · 7,116 trades · since Nov 16, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$540.8k
Open P&L · 55 positions
+$4,338
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
708d
2340 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | +39.5 pts |
| Crypto | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +20.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Petr Yan @ 61¢ | $18.3k | pending |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL No @ 69¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 31¢ | $13.8k | called |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY No @ 74¢ | $10.6k | called |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $30.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $10.3k | called |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $36.7k 2.7× usual |
called |
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