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What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.0k
BUY No @ 99.6¢ · 30,121 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet timebrotime took No (buy) for $30.0k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 99.6%
- Size
- $30.0k
- Placed
- Apr 08, 01:20 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 15, 23:15 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- timebrotime
- Tx
- 0x760b471d…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+34.5 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $96.5k | excluded |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | MED SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $120.4k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $87.1k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $39.9k | excluded |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.2k | excluded |