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What this means. A wallet put $39.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded
$39.9k
SELL No @ 99.7¢ · 40,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet tphhh took No (sell) for $39.9k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $39.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
0.3%
Size
$39.9k
Placed
Mar 16, 19:15 EDT
Market close
Apr 15, 23:15 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tphhh
Tx
0x525ea47f…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+29.7 pts
expected 1.4 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $96.5k100% iPrediction192d agoexcluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $30.0k
2.2× usual
100% timebrotime200d agoexcluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ $32.3k2% tphhh221d agoexcluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?MED SELL No @ 98.1¢ $120.4k
3.8× usual
2% tphhh221d agoexcluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $87.1k
2.7× usual
100% tphhh221d agoexcluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $15.2k0% tphhh222d agoexcluded