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What this means. A wallet put $70.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. It lost. This wallet has a proven record: +12.8 pts vs the price over 34 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$70.9k
SELL Yes @ 85¢ · 83,376 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet3.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet GoriIIa took Yes (sell) for $70.9k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $70.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 14.9%
- Size
- $70.9k
- Placed
- Apr 09, 10:32 EDT
- Market close
- May 19, 20:17 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- GoriIIa
- Tx
- 0x28fa0989…
This wallet's graded record
32/34+12.8 pts
expected 27.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $60.3k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $10.3k | called |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $17.7k | called |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $13.1k | called |