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sx4pppnv3u3q

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -11.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?+$2No · avg 73¢ → 98.4¢ · $8
Price-adjusted edge
-11.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$10.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$3,764
Last 30 days −$27 · $316.9k volume · 10,353 trades · since Feb 11, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$37.3k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$73
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
256d
1126 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other100.1-11.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW SELL Yes @ 89¢ $10.4k11% 222d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x835cc9…