← Wallets
+$245No · avg 90.2¢ → 95.8¢ · $4,226+$687No · avg 76¢ → 93.5¢ · $3,740+$640Yes · avg 38¢ → 57¢ · $1,925+$105No · avg 89¢ → 96¢ · $1,355+$406No · avg 45¢ → 76¢ · $1,001+$58No · avg 91.8¢ → 98¢ · $919−$127No · avg 82¢ → 71¢ · $794+$119No · avg 80¢ → 95.7¢ · $722
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +4.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+4.2 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$288.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$50.5k
Last 30 days −$357 · $20.23M volume · 32,655 trades · since Oct 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$592.2k
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$3,970
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
377d
857 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -38.6 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +47.0 pts |
History
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